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Signals from the summit

Trad and crypto market trend signals, bubble watch, macroeconomic regime shifts, portfolio updates, and other musings from the Macro Sherpa.

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How Should Tech Founders Invest?

None

Quick hitter today. With all time highs in equity markets and fever dream rallies from Nvidia to Ethereum, it feels like the perfect time to reflect on how tech entrepreneurs should approach managing their wealth. The trope "invest in what you know" springs to mind immediately. But is that the best approach? It all depends on what you're optimizing for. If you're a tech founder, and all your investments outside your company are also tech or tech-adjacent (public or private markets), you're maki

macro sherpa

The Macro Sherpa evolved over years on the desk as an analyst at multiple billion dollar asset managers. Quantitative models, tools, and analysis were de rigueur.

macro regime permanent portfolio SPY

How to Invest for the Macro Environment (Permanent Portfolio in 2024)

Assets performance varies across the economic cycle.

The popular wisdom is stocks for the long run. That has worked phenomenally well over the last 100+ years for US investors (we are sitting at all-time highs as I write this!), But tucked into those decades of compounding are occasional periods of significant underperformance. But as the saying goes, there's always a bull market somewhere. Different asset classes and even different stocks can and often do perform well when the broader market is weak. That's the essence of diversification and any

macro sherpa

The Macro Sherpa evolved over years on the desk as an analyst at multiple billion dollar asset managers. Quantitative models, tools, and analysis were de rigueur.

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